Friday, November 8, 2013

Reuters: Hot Stocks: UK FTSE falls on worries payrolls could spur Fed policy move

Reuters: Hot Stocks
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com 
UK FTSE falls on worries payrolls could spur Fed policy move
Nov 8th 2013, 12:04

Fri Nov 8, 2013 7:04am EST

* FTSE 100 down 0.5 pct at 6,666.95 pts

* Focus on U.S. non-farm payrolls at 1330 GMT, seen at 125k

* Investors worry strong reading would bring forward QE cut

* 20 pct consensus beat/miss would trigger selloff - City Index

* ICAG, Rolls rally after strong updates

By Francesco Canepa

LONDON, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Britain's top shares fell on Friday as investors worried that any fresh sign of strength in the U.S. jobs market may bring forward a reduction to the Federal Reserve's equity-friendly monetary stimulus programme.

Positive updates from airline IAG and the world's second-largest maker of aircraft engines, Rolls Royce, sent the two heavily traded stocks to the top of the FTSE 100 .

After estimate-beating U.S. economic output data on Thursday, investors were awaiting October non-farm payrolls figures at 1330 GMT for more clues on when the Fed would start to trim its asset-buying scheme, which has helped the FTSE 100 rise 18 percent since it was announced in September 2012.

The British index was down 30.3 points, or 0.5 percent, at a 2-1/2 week low of 6,666.96 points at 1127 GMT. The index has fallen 2.3 percent since hitting a five-month high on Oct 30.

Economists forecast 125,000 U.S. jobs were created in October, slowing from 148,000 jobs in September due to the impact of the U.S. government shutdown.

"If it comes in 20 percent either side (of consensus) we would expect some sort of negative reaction," Lee Curtis, a sales trader at City Index, said.

"Most of our clients have been anticipating a selloff going into the six weeks or so to Christmas... before any further buying takes place."

While a higher reading would point to strength in the world's largest economy, it could also mean the Fed might start scaling back its quantitative easing (QE) programme earlier than March, the market's current expectations.

"If the non-farms are much better than expected... that will bring the possibility of some sort of QE tapering in December," Richard Hunter, head of equities at Hargreaves Lansdown, said.

He thought a jobs number over 150,000 could trigger a 100-point drop on the FTSE 100. Conversely, a figure under 100,000 could see the index climb 1-2 percent, he said.

The FTSE was trading at 12.5 times its expected earnings for the next 12 months, its highest valuation multiples since early 2010, Datastream data showed, having rallied steadily thanks to QE at a time when profit expectations continued to fall.

Of the 175 companies in the STOXX 600 that have reported earnings to date for third quarter, 44 percent have beaten analyst's earnings expectations - lower than the long-term average of 49 percent, Thomson Reuters StarMine data showed.

ICAG climbed 5.7 percent after third-quarter profit more than doubled while Rolls Royce was up 3.2 percent after raising its profit guidance for its defence aerospace unit.

Volume on the stocks was 115 percent and 71.8 percent of their respective averages for the past three months, compared with just a fifth of the average for the FTSE, as traders held fire before the payrolls data.

(Additional reporting reporting by Tricia Wright; Editing by Ruth Pitchford)

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Reuters: Hot Stocks: UPDATE 2-Richemont rules out divestments as growth picks up

Reuters: Hot Stocks
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com 
UPDATE 2-Richemont rules out divestments as growth picks up
Nov 8th 2013, 10:35

Fri Nov 8, 2013 5:35am EST

* H1 net profit meets analysts' forecast at 1.185 bln euros

* Sales growth accelerates to 12 pct in Oct

* Says will not divest any businesses after review

* Shares fall 1.8 pct (Adds CFO, analyst comments, shares, detail, background)

By Silke Koltrowitz

ZURICH, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Luxury goods group Richemont has decided not to sell underperforming businesses such as leather goods maker Lancel in part because it couldn't get a good enough price, disappointing analysts' hopes for a quick solution.

Instead, the maker of Cartier jewellery and IWC watches said on Friday it hoped to turn around lagging businesses, which also include menswear brand Dunhill and Montblanc writing instruments, within two to three years.

The group also reported sales growth of 9 percent in the six months to September, in line with forecasts, and a pick-up to 12 percent growth in October, helped by some one-off sales of very expensive jewellery items.

At 0950 GMT, Richemont shares were down 1.8 percent at 91.3 Swiss francs, underperforming a 0.6 percent decline in Europe's blue-chip stocks index.

"Surprising, and likely to be taken negatively," said Citi analyst Thomas Chauvet of Richemont's decision to retain its weaker brands, which are mostly in fashion and accessories.

A string of consumer goods companies have struck deals recently to shed underperforming businesses in a bid to cope with a faltering global economy. Food group Nestle, for example, agreed on Thursday to sell the bulk of its struggling Jenny Craig weight-loss business.

Richemont's core jewellery and watch businesses, which account for 80 percent of sales, generated higher operating results in the half-year to September and boasted operating margins of 36.9 and 31.7 percent respectively.

At the same time, operating profit at Montblanc fell 55 percent and the margin halved to 6.7 percent. Its other businesses, including Lancel and Dunhill, had an operating loss of 35 million euros.

Recent comments by former chairman Johann Rupert, currently on a sabbatical, triggered speculation Richemont could offload some of its fashion brands. However, Reuters reported Richemont was struggling to find a buyer for Lancel.

Chief Financial Officer Gary Saage said Richemont had looked at options for Lancel and other brands and decided to keep them.

"Selling for low, I don't know if that's a good thing," he told a conference call, adding Richemont had not actively looked at selling brands other than Lancel.

"The first thing we've done at Dunhill and Montblanc, which are the ones suffering the most, was to change management teams," Saage said, adding they had good people in place now.

He said new Montblanc head Jerome Lambert would turn the writing instruments maker into an "accessible luxury" brand, signalling a move towards more affordable products.

FX HEADWINDS

Watchmakers have been grappling with weaker demand from Chinese customers, the biggest buyers of luxury goods worldwide, but recently Swiss watch exports to Greater China have picked up in a sign retailers are restocking on watches.

Richemont said sales trends in October had improved, but that was mainly due to some exceptional jewellery sales in the Asia-Pacific region. Saage said orders from Chinese retailers were still subdued. Across regions, the muted environment called for "increased caution", Richemont said.

"The underlying trend overall in October is pretty much the same that we've seen in September although the mix is changing a bit. The watches and jewellery segment is getting a little better while fashion and accessories and Montblanc are not getting better," Saage said.

Sales in Asia-Pacific, which accounted for about 40 percent of the group first-half total of 5.32 billion euros, rose 4 percent in constant currencies in the half year.

Sales growth in Europe and the Middle East, which represents 38 percent of the total, slowed to 10 percent, from 19 percent a year ago, as tourists spent less on its products.

A weakening of the U.S. dollar and the yen caused operating profit to slip 1 percent, but hedging activities helped net profit rise 10 percent to 1.185 billion euros in the six months to September, just ahead of analysts' average forecast.

Richemont said exchange rates were likely to weigh on results in the second half of the year, but easier comparative figures would help. The weak yen pushed most Richemont brands to hike prices by another 6 percent in Japan in September, on top of the increase taken in spring, Saage said.

Richemont shares, which have gained about 30 percent so far this year, trade at 17.7 times forecast earnings, above Swatch Group at 16.4 times and broadly in line with LVMH. (Editing by David Cowell and Mark Potter)

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Reuters: Hot Stocks: UPDATE 1-French cable operator Numericable rises in stock market debut

Reuters: Hot Stocks
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com 
UPDATE 1-French cable operator Numericable rises in stock market debut
Nov 8th 2013, 08:58

Fri Nov 8, 2013 4:02am EST

(Repeats, no change to text)

* Initial price was 24.80 euros, at top of range

* Cinven, Carlyle achieve partial exits

* Raises at least 652 mln eur to repay debt, fund network upgrade

By Leila Abboud

PARIS, Nov 8 (Reuters) - French cable operator Numericable shares saw a modest rise of as much as 8 percent in their stock market debut on Friday, indicating the private-equity backed group had set an initial valuation that was quite full.

The debut also coincided with a downgrade of France's credit rating by Standard and Poor's, which dragged the blue-chip CAC 40 index down 0.8 percent by 0838 GMT.

Numericable, which offers packages of pay-TV, Internet and fixed-line calls, priced its share sale on Thursday at the top of the range - at 24.80 euros - and said its order book was ten times oversubscribed.

The stock reached a high of 26.79 euros early on Friday and was trading at 26.36 euros by 0844 GMT, giving the company a market capitalisation of 3.27 billion euros ($4.38 billion).

The initial public offering (IPO) is the latest example of investors' high interest in European cable companies as all-inclusive bundles of television, Internet, mobile and fixed-line calls gain in popularity.

Since cable companies have been takeover targets for big telecom groups like Vodafone, investors tend to award them premium valuations.

The IPO is also the biggest in France since 2009.

Numericable's pitch to investors centred on its prospects of a 2 to 5 percent rise in sales a year to 2016 and pointed to its attractions as a takeover target for Vivendi's French mobile operator SFR and rival Bouygues.

The IPO allowed the group to raise at least 652.2 million euros to fund investments in its broadband network and pay down debt. If the over-allotment option on the listing is fully exercised, then Numericable will raise 750 million euros.

Owners Carlyle and Cinven sold down part of their stakes, while fellow shareholder Altice raised its share. Their final holdings will depend on whether the over-allotment mechanism is used.

Deutsche Bank and JPMorgan are running the sale. Credit Agricole, HSBC and Morgan Stanley are joint book-runners. ($1 = 0.7472 euros) (Editing by James Regan)

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Reuters: Hot Stocks: FTSE falls on Fed stimulus worries, IAG jumps

Reuters: Hot Stocks
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com 
FTSE falls on Fed stimulus worries, IAG jumps
Nov 8th 2013, 08:59

Fri Nov 8, 2013 3:59am EST

* FTSE 100 down 0.4 pct

* IAG top riser after Q3 profit soars

* Rolls-Royce gains, lifts defence aero profit forecast

* U.S. jobs data eyed, due at 1330 GMT

By Tricia Wright

LONDON, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Britain's top shares fell on Friday as robust U.S. economic data revived expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve might trim its stimulus this year, overshadowing positive updates from International Airlines Group and Rolls-Royce.

IAG topped the FTSE 100 leader board, gaining 4.6 percent after its third-quarter profit more than doubled as its Spanish carrier Iberia started to show signs of recovery, adding to another strong performance from British Airways.

Peer easyJet advanced 0.8 percent, with traders citing a positive read-across.

Rolls Royce also notched up good gains, ahead 3.2 percent, after it raised profit guidance for its defence aerospace unit and said the overall business was trading in line with expectations.

The UK blue chip index was down 25.83 points, or 0.4 percent, at 6,671.39 points by 0846 GMT, retreating further from a five-month high of 6,819 hit last and shaving its gain for 2013 to 13.1 percent.

U.S. October non-farm payrolls figures, set for release at 1330 GMT, will be scrutinised for more clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve will start to reduce the $85 billion-a-month bond-buying programme which has underpinned equity markets.

Economists forecast 125,000 jobs were created in October, slowing from 148,000 jobs in September.

Data on Thursday showed U.S. growth accelerated to 2.8 percent in the third quarter, well above an economists' forecast for 2.0 percent growth. Some investors took the view the robust data could bring forward the timeline for when the Fed starts to scale back its stimulus.

"We're in this strange situation at the moment where good news is bad news. If the non-farms are much better than expected... that will bring the possibility of some sort of QE tapering in December," said Richard Hunter, head of equities at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Hunter said he thought a jobs number over 150,000 could trigger a 100-point drop on the FTSE 100. Conversely, a figure under 100,000 could see the index climb 1-2 percent, he said.

Atif Latif, director of trading at Guardian Stockbrokers, took a similar view, anticipating a move up to 6,780 on the FTSE 100 on a weak number - between 100,000 and 125,000 - and a sell-off in what he deemed the unlikely event of a strong number. (Reporting by Tricia Wright; Editing by Gareth Jones)

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Thursday, November 7, 2013

Reuters: Hot Stocks: Australia shares snap four weeks of gains, focus turns to US jobs

Reuters: Hot Stocks
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com 
Australia shares snap four weeks of gains, focus turns to US jobs
Nov 8th 2013, 05:20

Fri Nov 8, 2013 12:20am EST

SYDNEY Nov 8 (Reuters) - A poor session on Wall Street pushed Australian shares 0.4 percent lower on Friday as index heavy-weight Westpac traded ex-dividend but the downside was tempered after Australia's central bank kept the door open to further interest rate cuts.

The S&P/ASX 200 index fell 21.3 points to finish the week at 5,400.7. The benchmark eased 0.2 percent on Thursday and was down 0.2 percent for the week, snapping four weeks of consecutive gains.

Trading was also characterized by caution ahead of the U.S. payrolls data later in the day as investors look for further clues on when the Federal Reserve will start to taper its stimulus.

New Zealand's benchmark NZX 50 index rose 0.5 percent to finish the session at 4,951.4. (Reporting by Thuy Ong; Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

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Reuters: Hot Stocks: Australia shares slip on Wall St, selling tempered by RBA rates comment

Reuters: Hot Stocks
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com 
Australia shares slip on Wall St, selling tempered by RBA rates comment
Nov 8th 2013, 01:34

Thu Nov 7, 2013 8:34pm EST

(Adds analysis, quotes, stocks on the move)

SYDNEY Nov 8 (Reuters) - A poor session on Wall Street pushed Australian shares 0.4 percent lower on Friday morning, but the downside was tempered after Australia's central bank kept the door open to further interest rate cuts.

Major U.S. indexes ended lower overnight with the S&P 500 suffering its worst daily decline since August, dampening the mood.

However, the market clawed back some losses as investors cheered the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which said it had "not closed off the possibility" of further cuts in rates. The RBA also trimmed its forecasts for economic growth for the next two years in its quarterly report.

The S&P/ASX 200 index fell 23.4 points to 5,398.6 by 0126 GMT. The benchmark dropped 0.2 percent on Thursday and is set to give up 0.2 percent for the week, snapping four weeks of consecutive gains.

Westpac Banking Corp traded ex-dividend, losing 2.7 percent and dragging on the index for a second day. The Commonwealth Bank of Australia added 0.1 percent to touch a record high of A$79.88, while Australia and New Zealand Banking Group rose 0.6 percent.

"CBA is at nearly A$80, that is absolutely astonishing, I think there's still growth there so the banks are doing well," said Michael Heffernan, senior client adviser and economist from broker Lonsec.

Mining companies also lost ground after metals sank under the weight of a strong dollar following better-than-expected U.S. growth data and a surprise European Central Bank rate cut.

Bluechips BHP Billiton Ltd and Rio Tinto Ltd lost 1.2 percent and 1 percent respectively. Elsewhere, Iluka Resources Ltd fell 0.6 percent and OZ Minerals Ltd slipped 0.3 percent.

The Australian market has traded sideways in November, with the benchmark hovering at the 5,400 point level. A strong earnings season, particularly led by banks, and a recovering economy have driven a rally in the Australian market, although uncertainty over the Fed's stimulus has checked demand recently.

"If you're taking a medium term outlook, I think the market is looking good indeed," Heffernan said.

"You're going to get daily fluctuations along the way, but there's no fundamental reason why the market is going to retrace its steps."

Meanwhile, Echo Entertainment Group Ltd tumbled 7.1 percent to an all-time low of A$2.37 after the company said subdued consumer spending is continuing to impact on its revenue growth.

New Zealand's benchmark NZX 50 index rose 0.1 percent to 4,927.8.

(Reporting by Thuy Ong; Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

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Reuters: Hot Stocks: UPDATE 2-Salix bolsters gastro drug line-up with $2.6 bln Santarus buy

Reuters: Hot Stocks
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com 
UPDATE 2-Salix bolsters gastro drug line-up with $2.6 bln Santarus buy
Nov 8th 2013, 02:13

Thu Nov 7, 2013 9:13pm EST

* Offer of $32/share is 37 pct above Santarus' Thursday close

* Salix expects deal to add to earnings in 2014

* Salix up nearly 10 pct in extended trade (Recasts and adds comments from conference call)

By Zeba Siddiqui

Nov 7 (Reuters) - Salix Pharmaceuticals Ltd will buy Santarus Inc for about $2.6 billion, gaining two new gastroenterology drugs to strengthen its leading presence in that market and sending its shares 10 percent higher.

The deal brings together two companies seen as having complementary product portfolios and will mark Salix's biggest acquisition in at least the last ten years - a period when it made as many as six.

In addition to the two gastroenterology drugs, biotech firm Santarus has two type 2 diabetes drugs and a cholesterol drug on the market. Robust sales of the products helped the company's sales rise 81 percent to about $99 million in the third quarter ended September.

The combined company will have 22 products on the market.

Salix's $32 per share offer is a 37 percent premium to Santarus' Thursday close on the Nasdaq. In extended trade, Santarus shares rose to $31.90, while Salix's 10 percent climb takes to its shares to $78, a five-fold increase for the year to date.

Salix said it expects Santarus to significantly add to earnings next year, when it expects adjusted profit of $5 per share, up from $3.20 per share it has forecast for the current year.

Salix Chief Executive Carolyn Logan told analysts on a conference call that none of the two companies' target markets overlapped and that Salix's expertise in the gastrointestinal market will help improve sales of Santarus's bowel disease drug Uceris, which launched in the United States in February.

The company plans to pay for the acquisition with about $800 million in cash on hand and $1.95 billion in financing from Jefferies Finance LLC. Logan said she expects the combined company to generate strong cash flow that would lead to rapid repayment of this debt.

Chief Financial Officer Adam Derbyshire said the company will continue to look for more "tuck-away type" acquisition opportunities.

Jefferies LLC advised Salix on the deal, while Covington & Burling LLP acted legal counsel. Santarus was advised by Stifel, Nicolaus & Co while Latham & Watkins LLP was its legal advisor. (Editing by Joyjeet Das, Anil D'Silva and Edwina Gibbs)

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