Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:19am EDT
Macquarie said Singapore banks' earnings momentum is slowing down in the second quarter of 2012 as demand for regional trade finance is weakening and spreads on this business are falling, while trading income numbers are likely to be less rosy.
Macquarie downgraded DBS Group Holdings to neutral to reflect the risk of its planned acquisition of Indonesia's Bank Danamon. Macquarie said the acquisition is overpriced and dilutive by around S$1 per share.
"This is already reflected in DBS's valuation, but we think the shares will remain capped until the myriad uncertainties surrounding the deal have lifted - which may take some time," Macquarie said.
It also cut its rating on Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp to neutral, citing the bank's relative valuation, expected earnings volatility from insurance and potentially rising credit costs.
Macquarie's top pick is United Overseas Bank due to its strong solvency, asset quality and liquidity - which will support its 4 percent cash dividend yield - as well as its strategy of focusing on ASEAN in expanding organically.
Shares of DBS and UOB were up around 0.3 percent each, while OCBC shares fell 1 percent on Monday. So far this year, the FT ST Financial index has gained 16 percent versus the 7 percent gain in the Straits Times Index
1200 (0400 GMT)
(Reporting by Eveline Danubrata; eveline.danubrata@thomsonreuters.com)
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09:22 STOCKS NEWS SINGAPORE-Aussino falls as reverse takeover in doubt
Shares of Aussino Group Ltd plunged as much as 12 percent on concerns that a planned reverse takeover of the bed linen maker may not materialise.
By 0111 GMT, shares of Aussino were 6.6 percent lower at S$0.156 with over 8.4 million shares traded, compared to a full-day average of 24.5 million shares over the last five sessions.
Aussino shares had surged about 97 percent after it announced its plans to enter the petrol kiosk business in Myanmar through a reverse takeover last week.
The firm planning to inject assets into Aussino, Max Strategic Investments, is linked to a Myanmar businessman on a U.S. blacklist, bankers and lawyers said on Friday.
While Singapore does not impose sanctions on Myanmar, the experts Reuters spoke to said authorities would be cautious about letting a firm list if there are question marks about the owners and managers.
0917 (0117 GMT)
(Reporting by Charmian Kok in Singapore; Editing by Kim Coghill; charmian.kok@thomsonreuters.com)
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