Friday, July 19, 2013

Reuters: Hot Stocks: TABLE-Estimates of British shale gas production by 2020s

Reuters: Hot Stocks
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TABLE-Estimates of British shale gas production by 2020s
Jul 19th 2013, 12:01

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Fri Jul 19, 2013 8:01am EDT

  LONDON, July 19 (Reuters) - Energy experts say it is difficult to estimate  how much shale gas could be developed commercially in Britain, and their  estimates differ widely for the next decade.      The British government unveiled tax breaks on Friday to drive investment in  shale gas production.       Britain, one of Europe's largest gas consumers, hopes to follow the United  States by exploiting shale gas to cut its reliance on imports, which have  surpassed domestic North Sea production and are set to increase further unless  new sources are found.      Reuters calculations show that if 8-10 billion cubic metres a year (bcm/yr)  of shale gas production is achieved by the mid-2020s, it would account for  around 10 percent of expected gas demand and be worth $3-4 billion based on  average spot gas prices in Britain.      To be completely non-dependent on gas imports, however, Britain would have  to produce 80 bcm/yr in 2020-2030, said John Williams, senior principal at Poyry  Management Consulting.      Below follows a table outlining some estimates in bcm/yr.           COMPANY/ANALYST     ESTIMATE                     TIMELINE   National Grid       Total unconventional gas     2022-2029                       sources, including shale,                           could produce 2-4 bcm/yr        Oxford Institute    8 bcm/yr (requiring 300 new  after 10 years   for Energy Studies  shale wells a year)             Poyry               12 bcm/yr                    2021                        perhaps 20-35 bcm/yr         by 2035      (Reporting by Nina Chestney; editing by Jane Baird)  
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